St Kilda vs Sydney Swans — AFL 2026 Round 21
Match details
Round health not yet available.
Head-to-head
Value-weighted players used — 1st = most churn of key players, 18th = most settled. Weighted by player value (our metric), not raw squad size.
Soft-tissue = the OSIICS muscle/tendon family — the injuries most prone to recurrence (STK 1, SYD 4).
What do these scores mean?
- Round Health
- — point-in-time (0–100, 100 = no injury absences), weighting current ongoing absences on a fixed scale comparable across rounds. The league average drifts down as the season's injury load builds, so low late-season numbers are normal.
- Season Health
- — cumulative season-to-date: value-weighted injury burden, availability and incidence. Load-managed rests are excluded from both.
- State
- VIC
- Surface
- Hybrid surface
- Roof
- Retractable roof
- Capacity
- 56,347
Returnees to watch
Recently back from injury and still in the elevated-reinjury window — risk concentrates in the first games back, especially for soft-tissue.
- Jack Macraeback from systemic/other · 1 game back
- Hunter Clarkback from knee · 2 games back
- Alex Dodsonback from groin/hip · 2 games back
- Dougal Howardback from lower leg · 2 games back
- Tom Papleyback from lower leg · 1 game backRecurrence
- Tom Hanilyback from head/neck · 2 games back
- Lewis Melicanback from hamstring · 2 games backSoft-tissue return — recurrence risk is highest in the first games back.
- Dane Rampeback from lower leg · 2 games backRecurrence
Current injuries
Every ongoing injury for both squads entering this game (14 across both), ranked by impact.
STK carry the cleaner bill of health — SYD enter with 9 ongoing injuries to STK's 5, 6 of them long-term.
Ankle/Foot — Achilles Tendon Rupture
Long-termDue May 29, 2027Lower Leg — Calf Strain
SevereDue Oct 1Hamstring — Hamstring Strain
ModerateFragileDue Aug 1Chest/Torso — Rib Contusion
MinorDue this week- James BarratDEF
Foot — Foot Injury (General)
MinorAwaiting DiagnosisDue Aug 25
Signals
- 1awaiting diagnosis
- 1durability-fragile
- What they lose: 2 defenders, 2 forwards, 1 ruckman
Chest/Torso — Lumbar Stress Fracture
Long-termDue Oct 24Chest/Torso — Back Injury (General)
Long-termDue Aug 12Ankle/Foot — Achilles Tendon Rupture
SevereInjury-proneDue Sep 3Hamstring — Hamstring Strain
SevereDue Aug 17Hamstring — Hamstring Strain
SevereDue Aug 29- Will GreenLTI
Foot — Foot Stress Fracture
ModerateDue tomorrow - Sam WicksDEF
Hamstring — Hamstring Strain
ModerateFragileDue Aug 6 Quadriceps — Quadriceps Strain
MinorDue tomorrowGroin/Hip — Groin Strain
MinorInjury-proneDue Jul 25
Signals
- 3durability-fragile
- Body regions:
- Hamstring3
- Chest/Torso2
- What they lose: 3 of 6 outs are forwards
Recurrence flags repeat injuries to the same body region within 24 months.
Injury classifications use the OSIICS system (Orchard Sports Injury and Illness Classification System). © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.