Tom Papley#11

SYD - Sydney

FWD

Age: 30 years

Career Games: 208

Debut: 2016

Height: 176cm

Weight: 71kg

29Medium Risk

Quick Stats

208

Career Games

Total AFL matches played

Season Games

2026 AFL season

Career Injuries

Recorded injury incidents

Games Missed

2026 season · injury-related

Last injury: Calf injury — minor calf injury. Listed 6 weeks on AFL R12 injury list. — 24 May 2026 · 53d ago

Current Status

Available

Available for selection

Risk Profile

4 factors identified

Injury severity load

Severity-weighted total across 4 recorded injuries — more severe injuries weigh more; those older than 24 months count half.

Injury volume

4 injuries in the scoring window — frequent injuries compound risk.

Recurrence

1 flagged recurrence within 24 months — same body region, repeat injury.

Age

Age 30 — injury risk rises ~1 point per year past 28 (capped at +10).

Note:Risk factors are derived from a heuristic (injury history, age, workload, recurrence) — a placeholder while the ML model is pending. Bars show each driver's relative contribution, not an exact running total.

Career Durability

Moderate↘

Rank: 394 (51th percentile)

2026 Season (Active)↘️

Games Played12 / 23

Goals1

On pace for 15.3 games (below career avg)

Status: Active

Component Scores

Games Consistency82/100

Age Factor90/100

Recent Form (Last 3 Seasons)↘

Weighted Average16.4 games

Recent TierModerate

Down 2.4 games/season from career average

Career: 10 seasons, 196 games (19.6 avg)

Career Timeline (Completed Seasons)

Avg: 18.8

'16

'17

'18

'19

'20

'21

'22

'23

'24

'25

23120

Above average

Below average

Games played per completed season
Season	Games played
2016	20
2017	20
2018	20
2019	22
2020	17
2021	23
2022	19
2023	23
2024	21
2025	11

Durability calculated from 10 seasons of data (v2.2-availability-weighted)
Last updated: 13 July 2026

Injury Patterns

Body regions injured more than once — the multi-season recurrence view.

Lower LegRecurs
Muscle
View latest
2 injuriesacross 1 season5 games missed

Plus 3 body regions with a single recorded injury.

Grouped by OSIICS body region. OSIICS © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.

Injury Profile

Total Injuries

Games Missed

Soft Tissue

Structural

Contact (impact)

Injury Categories

Soft Tissue3 (60%)

9 games missed · Last: May 2026

Structural2 (40%)

11 games missed · Last: Apr 2025

Durability Impact

Soft Tissue Penalty-15 pts

Injury Frequency Score90/100

3 soft tissue injuries × 5 points = -15 penalty

⚠️2 injuries in the past 12 months

🔄Recurring injury history detected

Travel Burden

10.7k km

Total km

Interstate flights this season

Trips

Out of 12 games played

888.1

km / game

Average per appearance

Interstate flights only. Same-state and home-venue games count as 0 travel. Excludes games the player did not feature in.

Season Availability

Every round of the season — played, missed to injury, and what's ahead.

2026: played 11 · missed 5 to injury

R12

R13

R14

R15

R16

R17

R18

playedmissed (injury)injured in gameat riskprojected returnV/S/W affiliate returnbye / did not playupcoming

Injury History

5 injuries recorded

Injury history
Date	Team	Season	Injury	Severity	Status	Return
24 May 2026R111× · 778.6 km	SYD	2026	Calf Strain9 updates LTMJ	Moderate (5)	Returned	Returned R18 vs FRE
1 Nov 2025	SYD	2026	Calf Strain LTMJ	Minor (0)	Returned	Returned R0 vs CAR
12 Apr 2025	SYD	2025	Ankle Fracture ABFR	Moderate (7)	Returned	Returned 7 June
25 Feb 2022	SYD	2022	Hamstring Strain MTMJ	Moderate (4)	Returned	Returned 15 Apr
15 Feb 2017	SYD	2017	ACL Tear KTCL	Moderate (4)	Returned	Returned 19 Apr