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InjuryIQ

Carlton vs Brisbane Lions — AFL 2026 Round 21

Round 21

Match details

Home & Away
Round 21
Carlton
vs
Brisbane Lions
—
—Round Health Score (0–100), last 5 rounds. Scores drift down league-wide as the season's injury load builds — read the slope relative to the league, not the level.
Round health
—
—Round Health Score (0–100), last 5 rounds. Scores drift down league-wide as the season's injury load builds — read the slope relative to the league, not the level.

Round health not yet available.

Season —
Season —

Head-to-head

8Ongoing injuries4
4Long-term (LTI)2
7 dDays' rest6 d
1Games in 21 days1
Last month air km
Squad stabilityCAR 1stBRL 8th of 18

Value-weighted players used — 1st = most churn of key players, 18th = most settled. Weighted by player value (our metric), not raw squad size.

Soft-tissue = the OSIICS muscle/tendon family — the injuries most prone to recurrence (CAR 1, BRL 1).

What do these scores mean?
Round Health
— point-in-time (0–100, 100 = no injury absences), weighting current ongoing absences on a fixed scale comparable across rounds. The league average drifts down as the season's injury load builds, so low late-season numbers are normal.
Season Health
— cumulative season-to-date: value-weighted injury burden, availability and incidence. Load-managed rests are excluded from both.
Sat 1 Aug · 7:40pm·Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
State
VIC
Surface
Hybrid surface
Roof
Retractable roof
Capacity
56,347

Possible returns

Currently-injured players who could feature — fitness tests, squad signals and projected returns.

CAR
  • Lewis YoungDEF
    Projected return
    Head/Neck — ConcussionDue this week
BRLno possible returns

Returnees to watch

Recently back from injury and still in the elevated-reinjury window — risk concentrates in the first games back, especially for soft-tissue.

CAR
  • Harry Deanback from wrist/hand · 1 game back
  • Ben Camporealeback from hamstring · 2 games backSoft-tissue return — recurrence risk is highest in the first games back.
BRL
  • Daniel Annableback from shoulder · 1 game back
  • Will McLachlanback from quadriceps · 1 game backSoft-tissue return — recurrence risk is highest in the first games back.
  • Tom Doedeeback from lower leg · 1 game back
  • Dayne Zorkoback from quadriceps · 1 game backSoft-tissue return — recurrence risk is highest in the first games back.
  • Hugh McCluggageback from lower leg · 1 game back
    Recurrence
  • Keidean Colemanback from hamstring · 1 game backSoft-tissue return — recurrence risk is highest in the first games back.
  • Tai Hayesback from lower leg · 1 game back

Current injuries

The confirmed outs for both squads (11 across both), ranked by impact. Players in doubt are listed under Possible returns above.

BRL carry the cleaner bill of health — CAR enter with 8 ongoing injuries to BRL's 4, 4 of them long-term.

CAR7 out
  • Matt CarrollDEF
    LTI

    Knee — Anterior Cruciate Ligament (ACL) Tear

    Long-term
    FragileDue Oct 1
  • Rob MonahanDEF
    LTI

    Shoulder — Shoulder Dislocation

    Long-term
    In rehab
    Due Oct 1
  • Jesse MotlopFWD
    LTI

    Knee — ACL Tear

    Long-term
    Due Jan 10, 2027
  • Harry O'FarrellDEF
    LTI

    Knee — ACL Tear

    Severe
    Due Feb 1, 2027
  • George HewettMID

    Chest/Torso — Back Injury (General)

    Minor
    Due Jul 25
  • Marc PittonetRUC

    Hamstring — Hamstring Strain

    Minor
    Injury-proneDue Jul 25
  • Jacob WeiteringDEF

    Lower Leg — Calf Strain

    Minor
    Due Aug 13

Signals

  • 1awaiting diagnosis
  • 3durability-fragile
  • Body regions: 3× knee
  • What they lose: 5 of 8 outs are defenders

Recurrence flags repeat injuries to the same body region within 24 months.

Injury classifications use the OSIICS system (Orchard Sports Injury and Illness Classification System). © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.