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Lincoln McCarthy#11

Age: 32 years
Career Games: 159
Debut: 2012
Height: 177cm
Weight: 79kg
45High Risk

Quick Stats

159
Career Games
Total AFL matches played
8
Season Games
2026 AFL season
8
Career Injuries
Recorded injury incidents
9
Games Missed
2026 season ยท injury-related

Currently injured โ€” out since 12 June 2026 (34d) ยท Calf strain suffered at Brisbane training in mid-June 2026 while building back from a hamstring injury; ruled out for up to three weeks.

Current Status

Injured

Calf Strain

Est. return: Round 20 (26 July)

Road to Recovery

Clinical progress for this injury โ€” fitness tests, setbacks, and reassessments as they were recorded.

  1. R1412 June

    Occurred

    Calf strain suffered at Brisbane training in mid-June 2026 while building back from a hamstring injury; ruled out for up to three weeks.

  2. 30 June

    Reassessment

    Auto-promoted to POSSIBLE for Round 17 (expected return 2026-07-04)

  3. 1 July

    Setback

    NOT named in the Round 17 Brisbane team or emergencies (Lions unchanged; full side + emergencies captured) โ€” calf not yet cleared. Reverted POSSIBLE โ†’ ACTIVE;.

  4. 13 July

    Progress update

    Brisbane official injury list โ€” calf 1-2 weeks; prior ERD (2026-07-12) had lapsed. Anchored to R20.

    Return revised: 12 July โ†’ 26 July

    Brisbane Lions

Risk Profile

5 factors identified
Injury severity load

Severity-weighted total across 4 recorded injuries โ€” more severe injuries weigh more; those older than 24 months count half.

Recent injury

Carrying an ongoing injury from the last 2 months โ€” the most recent setbacks weigh heaviest.

Age

Age 32 โ€” injury risk rises ~1 point per year past 28 (capped at +10).

Injury volume

4 injuries in the scoring window โ€” frequent injuries compound risk.

Recurrence

1 flagged recurrence within 24 months โ€” same body region, repeat injury.

Note:Risk factors are derived from a heuristic (injury history, age, workload, recurrence) โ€” a placeholder while the ML model is pending. Bars show each driver's relative contribution, not an exact running total.

Career Durability

55
Moderateโ†’
Rank: 517 (36th percentile)

2026 Season (Active)โ†˜๏ธ

Games Played8 / 23
Goals0

On pace for 10.2 games (below career avg)

Status: Active

Component Scores

Games Consistency54/100
Age Factor75/100

Recent Form (Last 3 Seasons)โ†’

Weighted Average16.2 games
Recent TierModerate

Career: 14 seasons, 151 games (10.8 avg)

Career Timeline (Completed Seasons)

Above average
Below average
Games played per completed season
SeasonGames played
20121
20130
20144
20150
201619
20173
20182
201924
202017
202124
202225
202324
20248
20250
Durability calculated from 11 seasons of data (v2.2-availability-weighted)
Last updated: 13 July 2026

Injury Patterns

Body regions injured more than once โ€” the multi-season recurrence view.

Plus 2 body regions with a single recorded injury.

Grouped by OSIICS body region. OSIICS ยฉ John Orchard โ€” Free to use with acknowledgment.

Injury Profile

8
Total Injuries
109
Games Missed
3
Soft Tissue
5
Structural
0
Contact (impact)

Injury Categories

Structural5 (63%)

88 games missed ยท Last: Mar 2025

Soft Tissue3 (38%)

21 games missed ยท Last: June 2026

Durability Impact

Soft Tissue Penalty-15 pts
Injury Frequency Score85/100

3 soft tissue injuries ร— 5 points = -15 penalty

โš ๏ธ2 injuries in the past 12 months
๐Ÿ”„Recurring injury history detected
OSIICS ยฉ John Orchard โ€” Free to use with acknowledgment.

Travel Burden

6.42k km
Total km
Interstate flights this season
5
Trips
Out of 8 games played
802.1
km / game
Average per appearance

Interstate flights only. Same-state and home-venue games count as 0 travel. Excludes games the player did not feature in.

Season Availability

Every round of the season โ€” played, missed to injury, and what's ahead.

2026: played 7 ยท missed 8 to injury ยท 1 round at risk

R0
R1
R2
R14
R15
R16
R17
R18
R19
R20
playedmissed (injury)injured in gameat riskprojected returnV/S/W affiliate returnbye / did not playupcoming

Injury History

8 injuries recorded
Injury history
DateInjurySeverityStatus
12 June 2026R14
Calf Strain3 updates
LTMJ
Minor (9)
Injured
9 May 2026R91ร— ยท 1.37k km
MTMJ
Moderate (4)
Returned
8 Mar 2025
Long-term (22)
Returned
4 May 2024
Long-term (16)
Returned
15 June 2018
Moderate (8)
Returned
20 May 2017
Severe (11)
Returned
15 Mar 2015
Long-term (19)
Returned
15 Mar 2013
Long-term (20)
Returned