Geelong Cats vs St Kilda — AFL 2026 Round 19
Match details
Evenly matched on squad health.
Head-to-head
Both on a short turnaround (GEE 5d, STK 5d) — at/under the 5-day congestion mark.
Value-weighted players used — 1st = most churn of key players, 18th = most settled. Weighted by player value (our metric), not raw squad size.
Soft-tissue = the OSIICS muscle/tendon family — the injuries most prone to recurrence (GEE 2, STK 1).
What do these scores mean?
- Round Health
- — point-in-time (0–100, 100 = no injury absences), weighting current ongoing absences on a fixed scale comparable across rounds. The league average drifts down as the season's injury load builds, so low late-season numbers are normal.
- Season Health
- — cumulative season-to-date: value-weighted injury burden, availability and incidence. Load-managed rests are excluded from both.
- State
- VIC
- Surface
- Natural grass
- Roof
- Open roof
- Capacity
- 36,000
Possible returns
Currently-injured players who could feature — fitness tests, squad signals and projected returns.
- Jack HenryIn contentionHead/Neck — Neck Injury (General)Due today
- Quadriceps — Quadriceps StrainDue today
Returnees to watch
Recently back from injury and still in the elevated-reinjury window — risk concentrates in the first games back, especially for soft-tissue.
- Jacob Molierback from quadriceps · 1 game backSoft-tissue return — recurrence risk is highest in the first games back.
- Brad Closeback from ankle/foot · 1 game back
- Gryan Miersback from systemic/other · 2 games back
- Keighton Matofai-Forbesback from foot · 2 games back
- Bailey Smithback from other/systemic · 2 games back
- Tom Stewartback from head/neck · 2 games back
- Jack Macraeback from systemic/other · 1 game back
- Hunter Clarkback from knee · 2 games back
- Alex Dodsonback from groin/hip · 2 games back
- Dougal Howardback from lower leg · 2 games back
Current injuries
The confirmed outs for both squads (10 across both), ranked by impact. Players in doubt are listed under Possible returns above.
STK carry the cleaner bill of health — GEE enter with 7 ongoing injuries to STK's 5, 2 of them long-term.
Knee — ACL Tear
Long-termDue Oct 1Foot — Navicular Stress Fracture
Long-termInjury-proneDue Aug 22Collarbone — Clavicle Fracture
ModerateDue Aug 22- Tanner BruhnMID
Head/Neck — Concussion
MinorDue Jul 24 Hamstring — Hamstring Strain
MinorFragileDue Jul 25
Signals
- 1recurrence
- 1awaiting diagnosis
- 2durability-fragile
- Body regions: 2× head/neck
- What they lose: 2 ruckmen, 1 defender, 1 midfielder, 1 forward
Ankle/Foot — Achilles Tendon Rupture
Long-termDue May 29, 2027Lower Leg — Calf Strain
SevereDue Oct 1Hamstring — Hamstring Strain
ModerateFragileDue Aug 1Chest/Torso — Rib Contusion
MinorDue this week- James BarratDEF
Foot — Foot Injury (General)
MinorAwaiting DiagnosisDue Aug 25
Signals
- 1awaiting diagnosis
- 1durability-fragile
- What they lose: 2 defenders, 2 forwards, 1 ruckman
Recurrence flags repeat injuries to the same body region within 24 months.
Injury classifications use the OSIICS system (Orchard Sports Injury and Illness Classification System). © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.