St Kilda vs Carlton — AFL 2026 Round 22
Match details
Round health not yet available.
Head-to-head
Value-weighted players used — 1st = most churn of key players, 18th = most settled. Weighted by player value (our metric), not raw squad size.
Soft-tissue = the OSIICS muscle/tendon family — the injuries most prone to recurrence (STK 1, CAR 1).
What do these scores mean?
- Round Health
- — point-in-time (0–100, 100 = no injury absences), weighting current ongoing absences on a fixed scale comparable across rounds. The league average drifts down as the season's injury load builds, so low late-season numbers are normal.
- Season Health
- — cumulative season-to-date: value-weighted injury burden, availability and incidence. Load-managed rests are excluded from both.
- State
- VIC
- Surface
- Hybrid surface
- Roof
- Retractable roof
- Capacity
- 56,347
Possible returns
Currently-injured players who could feature — fitness tests, squad signals and projected returns.
- Head/Neck — ConcussionDue this week
Returnees to watch
Recently back from injury and still in the elevated-reinjury window — risk concentrates in the first games back, especially for soft-tissue.
- Jack Macraeback from systemic/other · 1 game back
- Hunter Clarkback from knee · 2 games back
- Alex Dodsonback from groin/hip · 2 games back
- Dougal Howardback from lower leg · 2 games back
- Harry Deanback from wrist/hand · 1 game back
Current injuries
The confirmed outs for both squads (12 across both), ranked by impact. Players in doubt are listed under Possible returns above.
STK carry the cleaner bill of health — CAR enter with 8 ongoing injuries to STK's 5, 4 of them long-term.
Ankle/Foot — Achilles Tendon Rupture
Long-termDue May 29, 2027Lower Leg — Calf Strain
SevereDue Oct 1Hamstring — Hamstring Strain
ModerateFragileDue Aug 1Chest/Torso — Rib Contusion
MinorDue this week- James BarratDEF
Foot — Foot Injury (General)
MinorAwaiting DiagnosisDue Aug 25
Signals
- 1awaiting diagnosis
- 1durability-fragile
- What they lose: 2 defenders, 2 forwards, 1 ruckman
Knee — Anterior Cruciate Ligament (ACL) Tear
Long-termFragileDue Oct 1Shoulder — Shoulder Dislocation
Long-termIn rehabDue Oct 1Knee — ACL Tear
Long-termDue Jan 10, 2027Knee — ACL Tear
SevereDue Feb 1, 2027Chest/Torso — Back Injury (General)
MinorAwaiting DiagnosisDue Jul 25Hamstring — Hamstring Strain
MinorInjury-proneDue Jul 25Lower Leg — Calf Strain
MinorDue Aug 13
Signals
- 1awaiting diagnosis
- 3durability-fragile
- Body regions: 3× knee
- What they lose: 5 of 8 outs are defenders
Recurrence flags repeat injuries to the same body region within 24 months.
Injury classifications use the OSIICS system (Orchard Sports Injury and Illness Classification System). © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.