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Daniel McStay#11

COL - Collingwood
FWD
Age: 31 years
Career Games: 215
Debut: 2014
Height: 196cm
Weight: 87kg
45High Risk

Quick Stats

215
Career Games
Total AFL matches played
17
Season Games
2026 AFL season
6
Career Injuries
Recorded injury incidents
0
Games Missed
2026 season · injury-related

Last injury: MCL sprain (left knee, moderate grade) — subbed out in Q4 of Collingwood vs Essendon Anzac Day match (2026-04-25). Scans confirmed moderate-grade MCL injury; avoided reconstruction. Initial prognosis 8 weeks. Returned Round 8 vs Hawthorn (2026-04-30) — 5 days later, significantly faster than expected. — 25 Apr 2026 · 82d ago

Current Status

Available

Available for selection

Risk Profile

5 factors identified
Injury severity load

Severity-weighted total across 6 recorded injuries — more severe injuries weigh more; those older than 24 months count half.

Injury volume

6 injuries in the scoring window — frequent injuries compound risk.

Recurrence

2 flagged recurrences within 24 months — same body region, repeat injury.

Age

Age 31 — injury risk rises ~1 point per year past 28 (capped at +10).

Multi-season pattern

1 body region injured across both recent and earlier seasons — a long-running vulnerability.

Note:Risk factors are derived from a heuristic (injury history, age, workload, recurrence) — a placeholder while the ML model is pending. Bars show each driver's relative contribution, not an exact running total.

Career Durability

67
Fragile↘
Rank: 377 (53th percentile)

2026 Season (Active)↗️

Games Played17 / 23
Goals1

On pace for 21.7 games (above career avg)

Status: Active

Component Scores

Games Consistency75/100
Age Factor75/100

Recent Form (Last 3 Seasons)↘

Weighted Average13.9 games
Recent TierFragile

Down 3.3 games/season from career average

Career: 12 seasons, 198 games (16.5 avg)

Career Timeline (Completed Seasons)

Above average
Below average
Games played per completed season
SeasonGames played
20149
201520
201612
201719
201819
201924
202017
202119
202222
202314
20245
202518
Durability calculated from 12 seasons of data (v2.2-availability-weighted)
Last updated: 13 July 2026

Injury Patterns

Body regions injured more than once — the multi-season recurrence view.

Plus 2 body regions with a single recorded injury.

Grouped by OSIICS body region. OSIICS © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.

Injury Profile

6
Total Injuries
21
Games Missed
1
Soft Tissue
5
Structural
0
Contact (impact)

Injury Categories

Structural5 (83%)

21 games missed · Last: Apr 2026

Soft Tissue1 (17%)

Durability Impact

Soft Tissue Penalty-5 pts
Injury Frequency Score90/100

1 soft tissue injuries × 5 points = -5 penalty

⚠️2 injuries in the past 12 months
🔄Recurring injury history detected
OSIICS © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.

Travel Burden

4.08k km
Total km
Interstate flights this season
4
Trips
Out of 17 games played
240.2
km / game
Average per appearance

Interstate flights only. Same-state and home-venue games count as 0 travel. Excludes games the player did not feature in.

Season Availability

Every round of the season — played, missed to injury, and what's ahead.

2026: played 16

R0
R1
R2
R8
R14
playedmissed (injury)injured in gameat riskprojected returnV/S/W affiliate returnbye / did not playupcoming

Injury History

6 injuries recorded
Injury history
DateInjurySeverityStatus — all Returned
25 Apr 2026R7
MCL Sprain2 updates
KTLC
Minor (1)
15 Jan 2026
Hamstring Strain
MTMJ
Moderate (0)
25 Apr 2025
MCL Sprain
KTLC
Moderate (8)
15 Dec 2023
ACL Tear
KTCL
Long-term (0)
22 Sept 2023
MCL Sprain
KTLC
Minor (0)
22 Apr 2023
Hand/Wrist Injury (General)
WBXX
Severe (12)