Dan Butler#16

STK - St Kilda

FWD

Age: 30 years

Career Games: 161

Debut: 2017

Height: 182cm

25Medium Risk

Quick Stats

161

Career Games

Total AFL matches played

Season Games

2026 AFL season

Career Injuries

Recorded injury incidents

Games Missed

2026 season · injury-related

Last injury: Left hamstring strain — sustained during CAR vs STK Round 8 (2026-05-02) at Marvel Stadium. — 2 May 2026 · 166d ago

Current Status

Available

Season over

Available for selection

Risk Profile

4 factors identified

Injury severity load

Severity-weighted total across 4 recorded injuries — more severe injuries weigh more; those older than 24 months count half.

Injury volume

4 injuries in the scoring window — frequent injuries compound risk.

Age

Age 30 — injury risk rises ~1 point per year past 28 (capped at +10).

Multi-season pattern

1 body region injured across both recent and earlier seasons — a long-running vulnerability.

Note:Risk factors are derived from a heuristic (injury history, age, workload, recurrence) — a placeholder while the ML model is pending. Bars show each driver's relative contribution, not an exact running total.

Career Durability

Fragile↘

Rank: 539 (32th percentile)

2026 Season (Active)↘️

Games Played10 / 23

Goals0

On pace for 7.9 games (below career avg)

Status: Active

Component Scores

Games Consistency69/100

Age Factor75/100

Recent Form (Last 3 Seasons)↘

Weighted Average12.6 games

Recent TierFragile

Down 3.5 games/season from career average

Career: 11 seasons, 151 games (13.7 avg)

Career Timeline (Completed Seasons)

Avg: 16.1

'15

'16

'17

'18

'19

'20

'21

'22

'23

'24

'25

23120

Above average

Below average

Games played per completed season
Season	Games played
2015	0
2016	0
2017	23
2018	15
2019	7
2020	19
2021	22
2022	19
2023	24
2024	16
2025	6

Durability calculated from 10 seasons of data (v2.2-availability-weighted)
Last updated: 12 Oct 2026

Injury Patterns

Body regions injured more than once — the multi-season recurrence view.

KneeRecurs
Ligament
View latest
2 injuriesacross 2 seasons20 games missed
HamstringRecurs
Muscle
View latest
2 injuriesacross 2 seasons10 games missed
Ankle/FootRecurs
Ligament
View latest
2 injuriesacross 2 seasons2 games missed

Plus 1 body region with a single recorded injury. 1 load-managed rest excluded.

Grouped by OSIICS body region. OSIICS © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.

Injury Profile

Total Injuries

Games Missed

Soft Tissue

Structural

Contact (impact)

Injury Categories

Soft Tissue5 (63%)

14 games missed · Last: May 2026

Structural3 (38%)

21 games missed · Last: July 2026

Durability Impact

Soft Tissue Penalty-25 pts

Injury Frequency Score84/100

5 soft tissue injuries × 5 points = -25 penalty

⚠️2 injuries in the past 12 months

Travel Burden

1.31k km

Total km

Interstate flights this season

Trips

Out of 10 games played

130.7

km / game

Average per appearance

Interstate flights only. Same-state and home-venue games count as 0 travel. Excludes games the player did not feature in.

Season Availability

Every round of the season — played, missed to injury, and what's ahead.

2026: played 9 · missed 6 to injury

R14

R15

R16

R17

R18

R19

R20

R21

R22V

R23

R24

playedmissed (injury)injured in gameat riskprojected returnV/S/W affiliate returnbye / did not playupcoming

Injury History

8 injuries recorded

Injury history
Date	Team	Season	Injury	Severity	Return
30 July 2026R21	STK	2026	Load-managed restManaged4 updates	Minor (1)	Returned via VFL
2 May 2026R81× · 653.6 km	STK	2026	Hamstring Strain12 updates MTMJ	Moderate (5)	Returned R14 vs GWS
19 Apr 2024	STK	2024	Hamstring Strain MTMJ	Moderate (5)	Returned 31 May
15 Jan 2024	STK	2024	Ankle Sprain ATMJ	Minor (0)	Returned 12 Feb
1 Sept 2023	STK	2023	ACL Tear KTCL	Minor	Returned 22 Sept
12 Aug 2017	RIC	2017	Ankle Sprain ATMJ	Minor (2)	Returned 26 Aug
13 May 2017	RIC	2017	Groin Strain GTMJ	Minor (2)	Returned 27 May
15 Mar 2015	RIC	2015	Posterior Cruciate Ligament (PCL) Injury KNLI3	Long-term (20)	Returned 23 Aug