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Dan Butler#16

STK - St Kilda
FWD
Age: 30 years
Career Games: 158
Debut: 2017
Height: 182cm
Weight: 78kg
25Medium Risk

Quick Stats

158
Career Games
Total AFL matches played
7
Season Games
2026 AFL season
7
Career Injuries
Recorded injury incidents
5
Games Missed
2026 season · injury-related

Last injury: Left hamstring strain — sustained during CAR vs STK Round 8 (2026-05-02) at Marvel Stadium. — 2 May 2026 · 75d ago

Current Status

Available

Available for selection

Risk Profile

4 factors identified
Injury severity load

Severity-weighted total across 4 recorded injuries — more severe injuries weigh more; those older than 24 months count half.

Injury volume

4 injuries in the scoring window — frequent injuries compound risk.

Age

Age 30 — injury risk rises ~1 point per year past 28 (capped at +10).

Multi-season pattern

1 body region injured across both recent and earlier seasons — a long-running vulnerability.

Note:Risk factors are derived from a heuristic (injury history, age, workload, recurrence) — a placeholder while the ML model is pending. Bars show each driver's relative contribution, not an exact running total.

Career Durability

43
Fragile↘
Rank: 549 (32th percentile)

2026 Season (Active)↘️

Games Played7 / 23
Goals0

On pace for 8.9 games (below career avg)

Status: Active

Component Scores

Games Consistency69/100
Age Factor75/100

Recent Form (Last 3 Seasons)↘

Weighted Average12.6 games
Recent TierFragile

Down 3.2 games/season from career average

Career: 11 seasons, 151 games (13.7 avg)

Career Timeline (Completed Seasons)

Above average
Below average
Games played per completed season
SeasonGames played
20150
20160
201723
201815
20197
202019
202122
202219
202324
202416
20256
Durability calculated from 10 seasons of data (v2.2-availability-weighted)
Last updated: 13 July 2026

Injury Patterns

Body regions injured more than once — the multi-season recurrence view.

Plus 1 body region with a single recorded injury.

Grouped by OSIICS body region. OSIICS © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.

Injury Profile

7
Total Injuries
35
Games Missed
5
Soft Tissue
2
Structural
0
Contact (impact)

Injury Categories

Soft Tissue5 (71%)

15 games missed · Last: May 2026

Structural2 (29%)

20 games missed · Last: Sept 2023

Durability Impact

Soft Tissue Penalty-25 pts
Injury Frequency Score86/100

5 soft tissue injuries × 5 points = -25 penalty

⚠️1 injury in the past 12 months
OSIICS © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.

Travel Burden

1.31k km
Total km
Interstate flights this season
2
Trips
Out of 7 games played
186.7
km / game
Average per appearance

Interstate flights only. Same-state and home-venue games count as 0 travel. Excludes games the player did not feature in.

Season Availability

Every round of the season — played, missed to injury, and what's ahead.

2026: played 6 · missed 5 to injury

R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
R6
R7
R8
R14
R15
R16
R17
R18
playedmissed (injury)injured in gameat riskprojected returnV/S/W affiliate returnbye / did not playupcoming

Injury History

7 injuries recorded
Injury history
DateInjurySeverityStatus — all Returned
2 May 2026R81× · 653.6 km
Hamstring Strain10 updates
MTMJ
Moderate (6)
19 Apr 2024
Hamstring Strain
MTMJ
Moderate (5)
15 Jan 2024
Ankle Sprain
ATMJ
Minor (0)
1 Sept 2023
ACL Tear
KTCL
Minor
12 Aug 2017
Ankle Sprain
ATMJ
Minor (2)
13 May 2017
Groin Strain
GTMJ
Minor (2)
15 Mar 2015
Posterior Cruciate Ligament (PCL) Injury
KNLI3
Long-term (20)