Collingwood vs Carlton — AFL 2026 Round 19
Match details
Evenly matched on squad health.
Head-to-head
Value-weighted players used — 1st = most churn of key players, 18th = most settled. Weighted by player value (our metric), not raw squad size.
Soft-tissue = the OSIICS muscle/tendon family — the injuries most prone to recurrence (COL 2, CAR 1).
What do these scores mean?
- Round Health
- — point-in-time (0–100, 100 = no injury absences), weighting current ongoing absences on a fixed scale comparable across rounds. The league average drifts down as the season's injury load builds, so low late-season numbers are normal.
- Season Health
- — cumulative season-to-date: value-weighted injury burden, availability and incidence. Load-managed rests are excluded from both.
- State
- VIC
- Surface
- Natural grass
- Roof
- Open roof
- Capacity
- 100,024
Possible returns
Currently-injured players who could feature — fitness tests, squad signals and projected returns.
- ManagedDue today
- Head/Neck — ConcussionDue this week
Returnees to watch
Recently back from injury and still in the elevated-reinjury window — risk concentrates in the first games back, especially for soft-tissue.
- Scott Pendleburyback from lower leg · 1 game backRecurrence
- Brayden Maynardback from shoulder · 2 games back
- Noah Howesback from shoulder · 2 games back
- Iliro Smitback from head/neck · 2 games back
- Harry Deanback from wrist/hand · 1 game back
- Ben Camporealeback from hamstring · 2 games backSoft-tissue return — recurrence risk is highest in the first games back.
Current injuries
The confirmed outs for both squads (16 across both), ranked by impact. Players in doubt are listed under Possible returns above.
CAR carry the cleaner bill of health — COL enter with 10 ongoing injuries to CAR's 8, 4 of them long-term.
Hamstring — Hamstring Strain
Long-termDue Mar 1, 2027Knee — Anterior Cruciate Ligament (ACL) Tear
Long-termDue Apr 23, 2027Knee — ACL Tear
Long-termInjury-proneDue Mar 1, 2027Knee — ACL Tear
Long-termInjury-proneDue Oct 1Ankle/Foot — High Ankle Sprain
ModerateDue Aug 17- Iliro SmitRUC
Head/Neck — Concussion
MinorDue this week Lower Leg — Calf Strain
MinorDue Jul 26Ankle/Foot — Ankle Injury (General)
MinorAwaiting DiagnosisIronmanDue this week- Tew JiathDEF
Hamstring — Hamstring Strain
MinorDue this week
Signals
- 3recurrences
- 1awaiting diagnosis
- 3durability-fragile
- Body regions:
- Knee3
- Ankle/Foot2
- Hamstring2
- What they lose: 5 of 10 outs are defenders
Knee — Anterior Cruciate Ligament (ACL) Tear
Long-termFragileDue Oct 1Shoulder — Shoulder Dislocation
Long-termIn rehabDue Oct 1Knee — ACL Tear
Long-termDue Jan 10, 2027Knee — ACL Tear
SevereDue Feb 1, 2027Chest/Torso — Back Injury (General)
MinorAwaiting DiagnosisDue Jul 25Hamstring — Hamstring Strain
MinorInjury-proneDue Jul 25Lower Leg — Calf Strain
MinorDue Aug 13
Signals
- 1awaiting diagnosis
- 3durability-fragile
- Body regions: 3× knee
- What they lose: 5 of 8 outs are defenders
Recurrence flags repeat injuries to the same body region within 24 months.
Injury classifications use the OSIICS system (Orchard Sports Injury and Illness Classification System). © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.