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Melbourne vs Carlton — AFL 2026 Finals Week 25

Finals Week 25

Match details

Wildcard Final
Finals Week 25
Full time
Melbourne
55–74
CAR by 19
Carlton
6th
of 18 · index 25Round Health Score (0–100), last 5 rounds. Scores drift down league-wide as the season's injury load builds — read the slope relative to the league, not the level.
Round health
11th
of 18 · index 0Round Health Score (0–100), last 5 rounds. Scores drift down league-wide as the season's injury load builds — read the slope relative to the league, not the level.
MEL entered healthier — 6th v 11th this round
Season 14th of 18 · index 34+8vs season
Season 8th of 18 · index 59−3vs season

Head-to-head

9Ongoing injuries9
5Long-term (LTI)5
7 dDays' rest7 d
3Games in 21 days3
1,998 kmLast month air km0 km
Squad stabilityMEL 17thCAR 1st of 18

Value-weighted players used — 1st = most churn of key players, 18th = most settled. Weighted by player value (our metric), not raw squad size.

Soft-tissue = the OSIICS muscle/tendon family — the injuries most prone to recurrence (MEL 0, CAR 1).

What do these scores mean?
Round Health
— point-in-time (0–100, 100 = no injury absences), weighting current ongoing absences on a fixed scale comparable across rounds. The league average drifts down as the season's injury load builds, so low late-season numbers are normal.
Season Health
— cumulative season-to-date: value-weighted injury burden, availability and incidence. Load-managed rests are excluded from both.
Sat 29 Aug · 7:35pm·Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne
State
VIC
Surface
Natural grass
Roof
Open roof
Capacity
100,024

Injuries from this game

What this game cost — players hurt in it, OSIICS-classified, each linked to its injury record.

MEL

No injuries reported

CAR
  • •Nick Haynes
    Minor
    Ankle/Foot· typically ~1 gameHurt an ankle in the wildcard final against Melbourne and did not recover in time for the…

Back from injury

Players who returned from injury in this game, each linking to their profile.

MEL
CAR

Current injuries

Every ongoing injury carried by each squad today (18 across both). Injuries sustained in this game are in the casualty report above.

Evenly matched on availability (9 ongoing apiece) — MEL 5 of them long-term, CAR 5 of them long-term.

MEL
  • Shoulder — Shoulder Injury (General)

    Long-term
    Due Mar 1, 2027
  • Jed AdamsDEF
    LTI
    Recurrence

    Knee — Posterior Cruciate Ligament (PCL) Tear

    Long-term
    Injury-proneDue Mar 1, 2027
  • Head/Neck — Unstable Cervical Fracture

    Long-term
    In rehab
    Due (14 days ago)
  • Knee — ACL Tear

    Long-term
    Injury-proneDue Feb 27, 2027
  • Knee — ACL Tear

    Long-term
    Injury-proneDue Feb 1, 2027
  • Wrist/Hand — Hand/Wrist Injury (General)

    Moderate
    Due Mar 1, 2027
  • Knee — Knee Injury (General)

    Minor
    Injury-proneDue Mar 1, 2027
  • Foot — Toe Ligament Sprain

    Minor
    Due Mar 1, 2027
  • Head/Neck — Concussion

    Minor
    Due Mar 1, 2027

Signals

  • 1recurrence
  • 3awaiting diagnosis
  • 4durability-fragile
  • Body regions:
    • Knee4
    • Head/Neck2
  • What they lose: 4 of 6 outs are defenders

Recurrence flags repeat injuries to the same body region within 24 months.

Injury classifications use the OSIICS system (Orchard Sports Injury and Illness Classification System). © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.