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Collingwood vs Geelong Cats — AFL 2026 Round 21

Round 21

Match details

Home & Away
Round 21
Collingwood
vs
Geelong Cats
Round Health Score (0–100), last 5 rounds. Scores drift down league-wide as the season's injury load builds — read the slope relative to the league, not the level.
Round health
Round Health Score (0–100), last 5 rounds. Scores drift down league-wide as the season's injury load builds — read the slope relative to the league, not the level.

Round health not yet available.

Season
Season

Head-to-head

10Ongoing injuries7
4Long-term (LTI)2
7 dDays' rest6 d
1Games in 21 days1
1,342 kmLast month air km771 km
Squad stabilityCOL 17thGEE 12th of 18

Value-weighted players used — 1st = most churn of key players, 18th = most settled. Weighted by player value (our metric), not raw squad size.

Soft-tissue = the OSIICS muscle/tendon family — the injuries most prone to recurrence (COL 2, GEE 2).

What do these scores mean?
Round Health
— point-in-time (0–100, 100 = no injury absences), weighting current ongoing absences on a fixed scale comparable across rounds. The league average drifts down as the season's injury load builds, so low late-season numbers are normal.
Season Health
— cumulative season-to-date: value-weighted injury burden, availability and incidence. Load-managed rests are excluded from both.
Thu 30 July · 7:30pm·Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne
State
VIC
Surface
Natural grass
Roof
Open roof
Capacity
100,024

Possible returns

Currently-injured players who could feature — fitness tests, squad signals and projected returns.

COL
GEE
  • Jack Henry
    In contention
    Head/NeckNeck Injury (General)Due today
  • Mark O'ConnorDEF
    In contention
    QuadricepsQuadriceps StrainDue today

Returnees to watch

Recently back from injury and still in the elevated-reinjury window — risk concentrates in the first games back, especially for soft-tissue.

COL
GEE
  • Jacob Molierback from quadriceps · 1 game backSoft-tissue return — recurrence risk is highest in the first games back.
  • Brad Closeback from ankle/foot · 1 game back
  • Bailey Smithback from other/systemic · 2 games back
  • Tom Stewartback from head/neck · 2 games back

Current injuries

The confirmed outs for both squads (14 across both), ranked by impact. Players in doubt are listed under Possible returns above.

GEE carry the cleaner bill of health — COL enter with 10 ongoing injuries to GEE's 7, 4 of them long-term.

COL9 out
  • Darcy MooreDEF
    LTI
    Recurrence

    HamstringHamstring Strain

    Long-term
    Due Mar 1, 2027
  • KneeAnterior Cruciate Ligament (ACL) Tear

    Long-term
    Due Apr 23, 2027
  • KneeACL Tear

    Long-term
    Injury-proneDue Mar 1, 2027
  • Reef McInnesDEF
    LTI
    Recurrence

    KneeACL Tear

    Long-term
    Injury-proneDue Oct 1
  • Ankle/FootHigh Ankle Sprain

    Moderate
    Due Aug 17
  • Head/NeckConcussion

    Minor
    Due this week
  • Jeremy HoweDEF
    Recurrence

    Lower LegCalf Strain

    Minor
    Due Jul 26
  • Ankle/FootAnkle Injury (General)

    Minor
    IronmanDue this week
  • HamstringHamstring Strain

    Minor
    Due this week

Signals

  • 3recurrences
  • 1awaiting diagnosis
  • 3durability-fragile
  • Body regions:
    • Knee3
    • Ankle/Foot2
    • Hamstring2
  • What they lose: 5 of 10 outs are defenders

Recurrence flags repeat injuries to the same body region within 24 months.

Injury classifications use the OSIICS system (Orchard Sports Injury and Illness Classification System). © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.