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Matt Guelfi#35

formerly ESS
MID
Age: 29 years
Career Games: 124
Debut: 2018
Height: 183cm
28Medium Risk

Quick Stats

124
Career Games
Total AFL matches played
3
Season Games
2026 AFL season
4
Career Injuries
Recorded injury incidents
3
Games Missed
2026 season · injury-related

Last injury: Hamstring tear — sustained in opening minutes of Dreamtime at the 'G vs Richmond R11 2026-05-22 (MCG). Scans confirmed tear. ESS: "He is expected to miss at least the next three games." Targeting return after R15 bye. — 22 May 2026 · 146d ago

Current Status

Delisted

Not on an AFL list — eligible to be re-listed or signed elsewhere

Movements

  1. 15 Sept 2026

    Delisted by ESS ahead of the 2027 season

    Not offered a new contract for 2027.

Risk Profile

4 factors identified
Injury severity load

Severity-weighted total across 3 recorded injuries — more severe injuries weigh more; those older than 24 months count half.

Injury volume

3 injuries in the scoring window — frequent injuries compound risk.

Recurrence

1 flagged recurrence within 24 months — same body region, repeat injury.

Age

Age 29 — injury risk rises ~1 point per year past 28 (capped at +10).

Note:Risk factors are derived from a heuristic (injury history, age, workload, recurrence) — a placeholder while the ML model is pending. Bars show each driver's relative contribution, not an exact running total.

Career Durability

48
Injury-prone↘
Rank: 522 (34th percentile)

Component Scores

Games Consistency74/100
Age Factor90/100

Recent Form (Last 3 Seasons)↘

Weighted Average7.7 games
Recent TierInjury-prone

Down 5.9 games/season from career average

Career: 9 seasons, 124 games (13.8 avg)

Career Timeline (Completed Seasons)

Above average
Below average
Games played per completed season
SeasonGames played
201815
201917
202011
202120
202220
202313
202413
202512
20263
Durability calculated from 8 seasons of data (v2.2-availability-weighted)
Last updated: 12 Oct 2026

Injury Patterns

Body regions injured more than once — the multi-season recurrence view.

Plus 2 body regions with a single recorded injury.

Grouped by OSIICS body region. OSIICS © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.

Injury Profile

4
Total Injuries
11
Games Missed
3
Soft Tissue
1
Structural
0
Contact (impact)

Injury Categories

Soft Tissue3 (75%)

8 games missed · Last: May 2026

Structural1 (25%)

3 games missed · Last: Aug 2019

Durability Impact

Soft Tissue Penalty-15 pts
Injury Frequency Score90/100

3 soft tissue injuries × 5 points = -15 penalty

⚠️1 injury in the past 12 months
🔄Recurring injury history detected
OSIICS © John Orchard — Free to use with acknowledgment.

Travel Burden

0
Total km
Interstate flights this season
0
Trips
Out of 3 games played
0
km / game
Average per appearance

Interstate flights only. Same-state and home-venue games count as 0 travel. Excludes games the player did not feature in.

Season Availability

Every round of the season — played, missed to injury, and what's ahead.

2026: played 3 · missed 3 to injury

R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R11
R12
R13
R14
R15
R16V
playedmissed (injury)injured in gameat riskprojected returnV/S/W affiliate returnbye / did not playupcoming

Injury History

4 injuries recorded
Injury history
DateInjurySeverityStatus
22 May 2026R11
Hamstring Strain7 updates
MTMJ
Moderate (3)
Returned
20 Dec 2024
Hamstring Tendon Injury
MTTR
Severe (3)
Returned
25 Feb 2023
Calf Strain
LTMJ
Minor (2)
Returned
10 Aug 2019
Knee Injury (General)
KNXX
Moderate (3)
Returned